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Chequers

Last Updated: September 30, 2025

There’s nothing like an off-site to get everyone back on the same page.
The warring UK Cabinet is meeting this Friday at the Prime Minister’s country house, Chequers, in the Chiltern Hills. Theresa May’s top ministers have been at loggerheads since her election – we all know how divisive Brexit can be. However, things have got a bit out of hand over the past few weeks. Cabinet members have gone increasingly rogue without censure, exposing just how fragile the Prime Minister is.

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Sounding the death knell for QE

Last Updated: September 30, 2025

If a tree falls in a forest and no one is around to hear it, does it make a sound? When the European Central Bank (ECB) finally bit the bullet and called time on its asset purchase programme last week, its hawkish announcement passed almost unheard by the markets. The euro did fall 1% against the dollar, presumably on concerns that the eurozone economy might still need the life support. But there was a negligible decline in bund yields, while most major European equity markets rallied in response to the announcement.

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Rathbones’ Smith: comments on the Spring Statement

Last Updated: September 30, 2025

“Chancellor Phillip Hammond was very clear when he reformed the system, the Spring Statement will not be ‘a major fiscal event’ – no other western economy announces tax and spending changes twice a year and the UK needed to stop too. He lived up to that promise today: the first ever Spring Statement was a short update on policy already in train and a response to the Office for Budget Responsibility's new forecasts (which were pretty much unchanged over the forecast horizon). Remember, the OBR's forecasts are grim.