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Chart of the week: Give us a sign

Last Updated: September 30, 2025

We have more reasons than at any time over the past decade to be worried about the global economic outlook over the next 12 months. Notably, US industrial production is contracting quarter- on-quarter. But we don’t think it’s time yet to cash in your chips. A mild contraction in many of these indicators is not actually unusual. Quarterly US industrial production growth has been negative five times now since the recovery began in 2009, sometimes for prolonged periods. Taken together, the indicators are not yet signalling more than a typical mid-cycle slowdown.

  • Chart Of The Week
Articles

Rathbones’ Ed Smith comments ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision

Last Updated: September 30, 2025

Now that the latest round of China/US trade talks have come to an uninspiring end, attention will shift to this evening’s announcement from the US Federal Reserve and the expected 0.25% rate reduction in the real interest rate. Markets will also be searching for clues as to whether there will be any further rate cuts this year, or whether this is a one off insurance cut.

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Responsible capitalism: benefiting society and investment returns

Last Updated: September 30, 2025

Capitalism today is delivering returns for shareholders, but not in a sustainable way if the other stakeholders — employees, customers and the wider world — aren’t sharing in the benefits or, worse, if they’re paying a cost for delivering those returns. Using a parable of Prussian forests, our head of asset allocation research Edward Smith addresses this myopic focus on short-term measures of profit growth in a surprisingly relevant way.

  • Responsible Capitalism
  • Public Interest
  • Whitepaper
  • Value Of ESG