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Investment Insights Q3 2019

9 July 2019

While the Brexit deadline draws closer, the route to a deal between the UK and the European Union (EU) shows no signs of materialising.

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  2. Investment Insights Q3 2019

Article last updated 25 November 2025.

The Conservative Party’s leadership campaign is also adding to the uncertain mood, but we believe the UK is unlikely to leave without a deal — regardless of the winner.

When economic growth slows and the outlook dims, investors usually shift their equity investments from cyclical to defensive sectors. In our first article, we explore the issues associated with this traditional approach as we enter the later stages of the current business cycle.

We explain why signs of weaker economic growth may not necessarily be cause for alarm. Although a broader range of economic indicators have fallen to indisputably weaker levels than at any time since the 2008 global financial crisis, the usual indicators of recession are yet to send a warning signal.

As the rise of online shopping continues, we explore how high-street retailers are adapting to make the most of their store space. We look at the advantages of having a physical presence, including how a shift in spending from things to experiences has created a new trend of ‘experiential retail’.

Many active investors try to identify companies or markets that look ‘cheap’ and those that look ‘expensive’ by using the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio. We explore why factoring this commonly used measure into investment decisions can be misleading and why it is unlikely to lead to outperformance.

Finally, we explore why US tech giants are facing increased regulatory scrutiny and evaluate the risk of a breakup within the sector. We discuss the challenges of applying antitrust law to high-tech companies and how the future of the tech titans rests on political machinations and the attitudes of those in the Supreme Court.

I hope you enjoy this edition of InvestmentInsights.

Individuals and families

Individuals and families come to Rathbones for the care, diligence and intelligence they receive from their dedicated wealth management team. Begin your own investment story with Rathbones.

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How can we help you

In Rathbones, our clients find a trusted partner that can help guide their long-term wealth plans with reassurance, through all life stages, generation after generation. We offer you a total wealth solution, from planning to investing — our approach focuses on your wealth in its entirety.


For us every client relationship starts with trust and every investment starts with a client story. We listen to understand your priorities and aspirations to create a wealth plan and investment strategy that’s as individual as you are. You and your family can determine your level of involvement in defining your investment strategy and management — whether you prefer a dedicated Rathbones investment professional to manage the portfolio on your behalf or keep direct control of your investment decisions.

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Investing in the ready-made and globally diversified portfolio that’s suitable for you. This service is typically for clients with at least £250,000 to invest.


Bespoke
A bespoke investment strategy and portfolio built and managed for you by a dedicated Rathbones investment manager. This service is typically for clients with at least £500,000 to invest.

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Global perspective. Individuals focus.

The way we invest is shaped around you. To help deliver to your long-term objectives, we insist on a direct relationship with your dedicated investment manager.


We build our investments around a structure that combines clear guidance with genuine flexibility. It allows us to anticipate future needs and respond in the moment to both opportunities and challenges. 
The value of your investments and the income from them may go down as well as up, and you could get back less than you invested.

Learn about our investment approach
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Responsible investing

We offer individually tailored portfolios that reflects your client's values. We use the extensive experience of our in-house team and Greenbank which is our specialist ethical, sustainable and impact investment team formed in 1997. 

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Greenbank sustainable investing

Looking for investments that align with your values? See our sustainable investment options.

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The value of your investments and the income from them may go down as well as up, and you could get back less than you invested.