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Investment Insights Q4 2019

7 October 2019

Trade wars continue to cloud the outlook for businesses and consumers. Closer to home, Brexit uncertainty has gone from bad to worse. Our new Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s first few weeks in office have been pretty spectacular.

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Article last updated 25 November 2025.

In our role as global investors we do still see reason for hope. For example, there are many American franchises that have stood the test of time, thanks to superior innovation and management skill. On page 3, we explore the investment opportunities offered by the US tech sector even in the midst of a slowdown, as well as the risks to look out for.

With around $15 trillion in global debt now trading with negative yields, investors are wondering whether it’s worth paying for the privilege of investing in government bonds. Our article on page 5 explores whether we’re again in a ‘cash is king’ mode.

On page 6, we try to demystify an unusual and worrying phenomenon happening in the bond markets — one you will probably have seen in the news, inverted yield curves. We look at what this means and whether recent weakness in the eurozone could lead to a global recession.

As the focus increases on responsible investing, businesses have a huge responsibility — and opportunity — to tackle the challenges that face our society. On page 8, we take a look at how tech companies are finding solutions to issues such as water usage. Tech like this is not only an exciting investment opportunity, but can also help solve today’s pressing issues.

Lastly, on page 9 we discuss how US protectionism is harming global economic growth. Although barriers to free trade bring large, ostensible gains to relatively small industries or segments of the population, our article also explores how they also deliver a small, hard-to-quantify loss for every member of a large and silent majority.

 

I hope you enjoy this edition of Investment Insights.

Julian Chillingworth

Chief Investment Officer

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Individuals and families come to Rathbones for the care, diligence and intelligence they receive from their dedicated wealth management team. Begin your own investment story with Rathbones.

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How can we help you

In Rathbones, our clients find a trusted partner that can help guide their long-term wealth plans with reassurance, through all life stages, generation after generation. We offer you a total wealth solution, from planning to investing — our approach focuses on your wealth in its entirety.


For us every client relationship starts with trust and every investment starts with a client story. We listen to understand your priorities and aspirations to create a wealth plan and investment strategy that’s as individual as you are. You and your family can determine your level of involvement in defining your investment strategy and management — whether you prefer a dedicated Rathbones investment professional to manage the portfolio on your behalf or keep direct control of your investment decisions.

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If you are looking for help growing your investments, our services could be right for you:


Managed
Investing in the ready-made and globally diversified portfolio that’s suitable for you. This service is typically for clients with at least £250,000 to invest.


Bespoke
A bespoke investment strategy and portfolio built and managed for you by a dedicated Rathbones investment manager. This service is typically for clients with at least £500,000 to invest.

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Global perspective. Individuals focus.

The way we invest is shaped around you. To help deliver to your long-term objectives, we insist on a direct relationship with your dedicated investment manager.


We build our investments around a structure that combines clear guidance with genuine flexibility. It allows us to anticipate future needs and respond in the moment to both opportunities and challenges. 
The value of your investments and the income from them may go down as well as up, and you could get back less than you invested.

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Responsible investing

We offer individually tailored portfolios that reflects your client's values. We use the extensive experience of our in-house team and Greenbank which is our specialist ethical, sustainable and impact investment team formed in 1997. 

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Investment management

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Greenbank sustainable investing

Looking for investments that align with your values? See our sustainable investment options.

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