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Latest US tariff news: Quick take

1 August 2025

Stay informed with our quick take on US tariff developments, ahead of next week’s longer investment update video.


Edward Smith - Co-Chief Investment Officer

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Article last updated 1 August 2025.

The US has announced a sweeping new set of tariffs, ranging from 10% to 41%, on imports from 69 countries.

Key points:

  • The average effective tariff rate on US goods imports will rise from 2% last year to 16-19%, well above what the market and US central bank had expected at the beginning of the year.
  • We think this will raise US inflation this autumn, weakening economic growth.
  • Higher inflation is one reason why we favour shorter-dated US government bonds, which are less sensitive to inflation than longer-dated bonds.
  • We don’t expect a US recession, so we don’t want to bet against US stocks by going underweight in them.

 

You can read more about our views on the latest economic and market developments and what they mean for you at this link to our Insights page. Not yet a client and interested in investing with us? Get in touch to see how we can help grow your wealth over the long term, with peace of mind.

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The value of your investments and the income from them may go down as well as up, and you could get back less than you invested.