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Your next move shouldn’t depend on a Budget prediction

16 October 2026

When you run your own business, your personal plans usually rise and fall with it. A Budget can change the detail. But knowing what you need from the business helps you understand whether your plans still add up and what, if anything, needs adjusting to keep them on track.


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Article last updated 16 October 2026.

You can believe in your business and still feel much less confident about the conditions around it. The Institute of Directors’ September survey caught exactly that split: members’ confidence in their own organisations rose, while confidence in the wider economy fell again.

Ahead of the Autumn Budget on 28 October, the talk is of higher capital gains tax and changes to property and wealth taxes. Any of those could affect the wealth you have or hope to build, change what it takes to get where you want to be and, as a result, ask more of your business.

You can’t ignore tax changes, and you shouldn’t. Tax can have a significant impact on the decisions available to you, and the examples in this article are based on our current understanding of UK tax rules, which may change and will depend on your personal circumstances. The foundations of your plan should rest on your long-term goals, with adjustments where needed. A plan that doesn’t depend on guessing correctly can be reviewed as the facts become clear. We don’t provide tax advice, so you should speak to a tax adviser if you’re unsure.

You can’t plan the business around Westminster, but you can build a personal financial structure that doesn’t depend on it.

01 Start with what has already changed

After several years of change, some of the figures underpinning your plan may need attention, even if your “number”, the target you’re aiming for, hasn’t moved. If you own a limited company, three changes are worth checking now.

What you draw

From April 2026, the basic and higher tax rates rose to 10.75% and 35.75%; the additional rate remained 39.35%. For an owner drawing dividends above the relevant allowances, a familiar gross payment can now leave less to spend.

Would you be better off taking a salary or bonus, or having the company make an employer pension contribution? Maybe. It depends on your circumstances, starting with whether you need the money now or are putting it away for later.

What a sale leaves you

Gains qualifying for Business Asset Disposal Relief are now taxed at 18%, subject to a £1 million lifetime limit on qualifying gains. Taxable gains outside the relief are subject to the standard capital gains tax rates, up to 24%. An exit calculation based on the former 10% rate needs revisiting.

What does that do to the figure you expect to bank from a sale?

What you pass on

For deaths from 6 April 2027, most unused pension funds and pension death benefits will enter the scope of inheritance tax, subject to exemptions. That’s a confirmed future change to consider when thinking about what you hope to leave your family.

With Business Relief and Agricultural Property Relief changing too, what could this mean for the legacy you plan to leave behind?

And what else might be coming down the track? Budget predictions remain predictions, however well informed the source.

What you can do now is bring your own figures up to date. That way, whatever is announced on 28 October lands on a plan that already reflects today’s rules.

Then ask the question that matters more than any rate.


02 What does your life need from the business?

This is a question worth asking regularly, starting with the life you want rather than the detail of the next Budget.

For example, say you want to appoint a managing director and drop to three days a week, keeping your shares. After the full cost of the hire, corporation tax, and dividend tax, how much would reach you personally? Would it cover what you need?

Your accountant can work out what the company can pay you, allowing for the profits available for dividends and the cash it needs for costs, investment, and commitments. A financial planner can connect that with household spending, money held outside the company, and future income.

If there’s a shortfall, how many months would your own cash cover it for? That’s how long you have to adjust for. The next question is whether you can afford to keep the arrangement going over the longer term.

It also matters how much of your income and capital depend on the company. If both rely heavily on the same business, a weaker year could affect your household income and the value of your shares together.

Pensions and other investments outside the business give you something to stand on when that happens. Check when you could actually use that money.

Ask your accountant and planner to run the figures in three different scenarios:

  1. Profit falls by a quarter.
  2. Dividend tax increases again.
  3. Both happen together.

You can then see what would force a rethink: the timing, the cost of the hire, or how far you step back.

These assumed changes test the decision. They don’t predict what will happen. And the figures may show that you have room to make the change, including through a weaker year.

The same approach applies if you’re considering a sale. Work from what you would receive after tax and costs, and when that money would be available. Then examine what different outcomes would mean for the income you need or the next venture you want to fund.

It all starts with being clear about what you need and what you want, then working back from there to what it will take. For many business owners, the business is a key asset in making those plans possible.


03 What if they are just rumours?

There’s always speculation before a Budget. When the possible changes could affect your wealth or business, it can be tempting to act before the facts are known. But acting on rumour alone is usually a temptation to resist.

Ahead of this Budget, there’s speculation about possible increases in capital gains tax (CGT), including alignment with income tax rates. A higher rate might look like an obvious way to raise more, but HMRC’s illustrative modelling shows that people change their behaviour and the take can fall.

That guarantees nothing about what the Chancellor will do.

Even so, some owners will be tempted to bring a sale or other disposal forward to secure today’s 18% or 24% rates, rather than a hypothetical 45% if CGT were aligned with the additional rate of income tax.

Before bringing forward a disposal, ask what would change if the expected tax change never happened, came later, or took a different form.

Ahead of the October 2024 Budget, speculation included aligning capital gains tax with income tax. The main rates instead rose to 18% and 24% immediately, while the tax rate on gains qualifying for Business Asset Disposal Relief rose in April 2025 and again in April 2026.

Earlier action could still have saved tax. The wider question was whether the sale, on the terms available, suited the owner’s plans.

It’s easy to be wise after the event. How would you have felt if the rate hadn’t risen?


04 Three questions for your pre-Budget conversation

You don’t need every answer before you speak. Bring one decision you’re considering, what you expect to draw from the company, your household spending, and the cash you hold outside the company.

The number 1 in a blue circle

What do I need the business to put in my hands next year, after tax?

The number 2 in a blue circle

If profit fell by a quarter, what would I need to change, and how much time would I have?

The number 3 in a blue circle

What am I considering bringing forward, and would it still make sense if the rumour were wrong?

Once the Budget details are clear, your planner and accountant can review what changes for you.
Sometimes your plan will still work as it stands. Sometimes the amount you draw, the date you step back, or the money you intend to pass on will need reconsidering.

You don’t need to predict the Budget accurately to understand what your next decision depends on.

A Rathbones financial planner can help you as a business owner or entrepreneur establish what your plans depend on, which decisions need attention now, and what to revisit after the Budget, working alongside your accountant and other advisers. Reach out to your usual Rathbones contact, or fill out our enquiry form below to start with a one-to-one conversation. Invest well. Live well. 

Take action

If you would like to talk to one of our team about the announcements in the Budget and how we could help you make a plan, please fill in the form below and we'll get in touch. Alternatively, please feel free to call us on 0330 390 9191 and we’d be happy to help.

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If you need immediate assistance, please don't hesitate to call our Helpdesk at 0800 151 3355. We're available Monday to Friday, from 8am to 6pm (excluding bank holidays), and we're here to help with any questions or issues you may have.

If you're interested in registering for MyRathbones, please reach out to your investment manager directly or read more about the platform here.


If you are an existing client, please contact your investment manager or financial planner directly to address your query or visit ⁠our people page to find their details.

 

More Autumn Budget 2026 analysis

Three people seated in a studio with dark blue décor, facing the camera during a filmed panel discussion.

55 mins

1 October 2026

Autumn Budget 2026: Preparing for change

A recorded webinar with insight into the changes that could shape your financial plans – from confirmed tax rises to the speculation dominating the headlines.

Autumn Budget 2026: Preparing for change
Westminster - Houses of Parliament

6 minutes

4 September 2026

UK Autumn Budget 2026: what could it mean for your finances?

With the Autumn Budget less than two months away, speculation is mounting. We look at what could change, what this could mean for your wealth, and how to prepare.

UK Autumn Budget 2026: what could it mean for your finances?
Access all our analysis

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