Ed Smith, Rathbones asset allocation strategist, spoke at ‘Brexit and 100 days of Trump’, an event in our Liverpool office on 3 May. Here is a summary of Eds presentation.
While financial markets in the developed world responded positively to the election of Donald Trump, the reaction in emerging markets (EMs) was mostly negative.
First the EU referendum, then the election of Donald Trump. In 2016, investors were surprised by events that pollsters and other experts said wouldn’t happen, although on both occasions stock markets swiftly recovered before reaching new highs.
Despite widespread calls for fiscal stimulus, the Chancellor confirmed the government will continue with austerity, albeit a little less aggressively.
Following the election of Donald Trump as the next President of the United States, investors should take note of the hidden costs of protectionism.
One of the most overlooked risks for financial markets over the next decade is the potential for the US to impose tariffs on imports. This risk is greatest if Donald Trump wins on 8 November. Yet our analysis suggests conditions are ripe for protectionism to have broader popular appeal: less extreme politicians than Mr Trump could use it to secure votes.
Investment Perspectives: What is fact and what is fiction? That question has never been more pertinent as the UK weighs up the arguments ahead of the In/Out referendum on 23 June.
Our report specifically looks to address five myths around key areas of the Brexit debate: immigration, trade, financials, public finance, and foreign investment.
Myth 5: foreign investors will withdraw from the UK if it leaves the EU.